Gallup: Democrats Shifting Further Left; GOP Remains Conservative

Most of the long-term change in Americans’ political views occurred after 2000 and can be explained by one overarching factor — an increasing likelihood of Democrats (including independents who lean Democratic) to self-identify as liberal. Democratic liberal identification has increased by about one percentage point each year, from 30% in 2001 to 44% in 2016. As a result, liberalism now ranks as the top ideological group among Democrats.

Meanwhile, there has been an eight-point decline since 2001 in the percentage of Democrats identifying as conservative and a six-point decline in the percentage of Democrats who are moderate.

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Among Democrats, all major demographic and regional subgroups have warmed to the liberal label since 2001. However, the most movement has been among older Democrats and non-Hispanic whites.

Whereas in 2001, the youngest Democrats — those younger than 30 — were far more likely than older Democrats to call themselves liberal, the age groups are fairly similar today. Between 40% and 49% of Democrats of all ages now call themselves liberal.

On the other hand, the sharp increase in liberals among white Democrats, from 32% in 2001 to 50% in 2016 — has created more ideological separation between white and nonwhite Democrats. Over the same period, the percentage of nonwhites identifying as liberal increased only nine percentage points, from 27% to 36%.

Change in Liberal Ideology Among Democrats, by Subgroup
Based on Democrats and independents who lean Democratic
  2001 2016 Change
  % % (pct. pts.)
Total Democrats 30 44 +14
Men 30 42 +12
Women 30 45 +15
East 31 47 +16
Midwest 28 44 +16
South 27 37 +10
West 37 51 +14
High school or less 23 34 +11
Some college 31 43 +12
College graduate only 37 53 +16
Postgraduate 45 59 +14
18 to 29 40 49 +9
30 to 49 30 44 +14
50 to 64 28 40 +12
65+ 23 42 +19
Non-Hispanic white 32 50 +18
Total Hispanic and nonwhite 27 36 +9
Gallup

Republicans Maintain Strong Conservative Orientation

In contrast to the leftward shift in how Democrats describe their views, Republicans (including independents who lean Republican) have maintained a strong tendency to identify as conservative. However, the extent of this has varied slightly. At 63%, the percentage conservative today is higher than in 2001, but below the peak of 67% in 2009 and 2010.

Thirty percent of Republicans identify as political moderates, while fewer than one in 10 say they are political liberals.

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Via Gallup