This is well worth reading. The Trafalgar group has the best results at election polling.
They say that Republicans will be undercounted for multiple reasons. They refer to the “submerged voters” who either won’t be polled, or won’t give a truthful answer for fear that their polling responses will be used to punish them by the government.
A top independent pollster says Republican voters will be undercounted in the lead-up to the 2022 midterm elections next month – which will likely skew polls in favor of Democrats.
“These submerged voters aren’t answering polls,they aren’t putting stickers on their cars, or signs in their yard—they’re not even posting on social media,” said Robert Cahaly, the head of the Trafalgar Group, in a Daily Wirepodcast – noting that Republicans may not be inclined to reveal their political views after President Biden’s Sept. 1 speech targeting “MAGA Republicans.”
“They are underwater. They’re not saying a word to anybody until election day.“
Cahaly added that voters should not trust mainstream polls in the coming weeks– citing previous polls weighted towards Democrats.
“Polls have two purposes,” he said. “They’re either to reflect the electorate, or they’re to affect the electorate—and too many of these media and university-based polls are designed to affect the electorate and are trying to create a false narrative quite often when there’s not one.”
Cahaly made reference to the Biden speech in Philadelphia that accused supporters of former President Donald Trump of being a threat to U.S. institutions,coming just a few weeks after the FBI’s raid of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort. While he spoke in front of a dark red-lit background next to two Marines, Biden said Trump and his followers “represent an extremism that threatens the very foundations” of the United States. –Epoch Times
During the 2020 election cycle there were “hidden voters,” Cahaly wrote on Twitter several weeks ago.
“Now [the] Biden administration has essentially classified ‘MAGA Republicans’ as a threat to democracy marshaling federal law enforcement to focus on them,” he said. “This move has created a new type of voter that will be even harder to poll or even estimate.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/2022-republican-voters-being-undercounted-again-trafalgar