I’m reposting this article in full. Via RedState. Emphasis mine.
Hillary Clinton’s favorable rating among 18- to 29-year-olds is well below her favorable rating among those who are older, which is a highly unusual situation for a Democratic political figure.
Via The Babylon Bee
Via The Babylon Bee
Donald Trump seems to be breaking yet another political tradition this election: the “God gap.”
In previous US elections, polls consistently showed that a person’s level of religiosity—how important their faith is to them and how often they attend church—was one of the biggest predictors in how they would vote. The more religious an American was, the more likely he or she was to vote Republican; the less religious, the more likely to vote Democrat.
But that correlation appears to be weakening, enough that some are askingwhether this year’s unusual matchup between Trump and Hillary Clinton will be the end of what political scientists Robert Putnam and David Campbell termed the God gap.
Trump only leads Clinton by four percentage points among regular churchgoers (49% vs. 45%), a “notable shift” according to the Pew Research Center. By comparison, Mitt Romney’s 15-point margin over Barack Obama in 2012 (55% vs. 40%) was much more indicative of the usual spread between Republican and Democrat candidates among weekly worshipers.
Similarly, George Washington University found that the difference between the percentage of weekly churchgoers voting Republican vs. Democrat spanned 40 points in 2012; during the 2016 primaries, there was less than 15 percentage points between the two, according to Religion News Service blogger Mark Silk’s analysisof the survey data.
This year’s demographic shifts are drastic enough that, for the first time in years, gender outweighs faith in determining how someone might vote, wrote Silk. (In June, Pew found that women who worship weekly are 15 percentage points more likely to favor Clinton (51%) than men who worship weekly (36%).)
The main factor: churchgoing Catholics. They slightly favored the GOP during the last presidential election, but with Trump as the Republican nominee, their Democratic support has risen 22 percentage points, reports FiveThirtyEight (based on Pew’s data).
Pew found that the move is more attributable to Trump than Clinton, (and not in a good way for Trump): the number of churchgoing Catholics voting mainly against Trump nearly matches the number voting in support of Clinton. For the Obama-Romney matchup, Catholic churchgoers overwhelmingly were motivated by support for the Democratic candidate.
Meanwhile, white evangelicals voting Democrat this year are dramatically doing so in response to Trump’s candidacy. “The share of weekly churchgoing evangelicals who support the Democratic nominee has remained nearly flat from June 2012 to June 2016, but their reasons have changed,” writes FiveThirtyEight’s Leah Libresco. “Two-thirds of churchgoing evangelical Obama supporters described their vote as ‘for Obama’ rather than ‘against Romney,’ but the proportions are exactly flipped for Clinton.”
In addition to the hack of the Democratic National Convention, the FBI is investigating a second breach at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC). Reuters reports that a “previously unreported incident” at the DCCC may have intended to nab donor information rather than to take money, according to sources. At this point, it’s unclear if any information was actually stolen or what details may have been accessed. When a donation is made though, the person typically submits their name, email address and credit card info. It also hasn’t been determined if any stolen details were used to access systems and sensitive information elsewhere.
If the DCCC doesn’t sound familiar, it’s a branch of the Democratic Party that raises funds for members who are running for seats in the US House or Representatives. The breach is said to have started as recently as last month. The DCCC has confirmed to Reuters the incident occurred and that it was similar in nature to the hack of the DNC. Reuters’ ources indicate that instead of being directed to a site that processes contributions, internet traffic was being directed to a fake website instead. What’s more, those sources say the IP address address of the site was similar to one used by hackers responsible for the DNC breach who are believed to have ties to the Russian government. The Kremlin has denied any involvement in the incident and subsequent release of DNC emails by WikiLeaks last weekend.
What’s more, the DNC and the DCCC share an office in Washington. The popular sentiment among Democrats is that Russia is hacking its systems to gain information that would sway the election in favor of the Republican nominee Donald Trump. Following the initial email dump, Trump urged Russia to find and release Hillary Clinton’s missing emails from her time as Secretary of State. Yesterday, the presidential candidate said that his remarks were meant to be sarcastic.
The FBI said earlier this week that it’s still working to determine the scope of the breach. Yesterday, Director of National Intelligence James Clappersaid that the US government wasn’t ready to say who was responsible for the DNC email hack. He did explain that the last two election cycles saw cyber attacks of both President Obama’s campaign and those of his Republican opponents.